The Drawdown is a newsletter for self-directed investors who want a systematic approach to accumulating Bitcoin. Buy more in drawdowns, structure your sells, and keep your portfolio balanced.
Free to read. Founding member rate: $85/yr — first 50 only.
Most Bitcoin investors understand the opportunity. The hard part is execution. Buying when prices are falling, holding when sentiment is bad, and knowing when to sell.
Every significant drawdown in Bitcoin's history has been a strong entry point. It never feels that way at the time. Having predefined tiers removes the hesitation.
Buying near cycle highs out of excitement is one of the most common and costly mistakes. A structured approach keeps you from making emotional decisions at the worst times.
Knowing when and how much to sell is just as important as the buy strategy. Without a plan, those decisions get made under pressure and usually not well.
Each tier defines how much to buy at each level of drawdown from the cycle high. Set it up once and follow it.
Paid subscribers get the Drawdown Lab Bitcoin Accumulation Tracker — a Google Sheets tool built to run this framework on your own portfolio.
Live drawdown calculation against the cycle high. Shows which tier is active, how much to buy at your base DCA amount, and when you move from one tier to the next.
Allocation cap, price targets at 1.5x, 2x, and 3x of the prior cycle ATH, and the post-halving distribution window. Each trigger shows how far away it is and alerts when hit.
Log every buy and sell. Running BTC balance, USD value, average cost basis, and realized gain or loss calculate automatically. Buy rows turn green. Sell rows turn red.
Weighted average cost basis, short-term vs long-term classification, and estimated tax at your rates. A planning tool to use alongside your CPA, not a replacement for one.
Days since the last halving, days to the next, and current cycle phase. Gives context to every buy and sell decision you make.
Track your BTC allocation against your full portfolio. A rebalancing signal fires when you drift from your target so your exposure stays intentional.
Free gets you the framework. Paid gets you the tool to run it.
Drawdown Lab is a Bitcoin accumulation strategy for self-directed investors. The framework covers how to size buys across market drawdowns, when to start trimming, and how to keep your overall portfolio allocation in check.
The halving cycle is real. The drawdown tiers are grounded in historical data. The sell rules are systematic. This is what a disciplined approach looks like when you treat Bitcoin like any other asset class in a serious portfolio.
No hype. No price targets. No predictions. Just a framework built to hold up in any market condition, including the ones that feel the worst.
Subscribe free. Get the framework. Upgrade when you are ready for the full toolkit.