₿ DRAWDOWN LAB|DCA BACKTEST ENGINE
Flat DCA vs. Drawdown Tiers
Point-in-time valuations · 431 weekly periods · All values at spot price each period
Start Period — when did you start accumulating?
2018-01→ Mar 2026 · 8.3 years · 431 weekly buys
Started near ATH ($19k). Cost basis collapsed through the bear.
Weekly Base Buy Amount
$/week
Tiered DCA multiplies this by 1.5×–5× during drawdowns
Flat DCA — $100/week every week
Invested
$43.1k
BTC Held
2.7753 ₿
Value Today
$234.5k
Total Return
+444.1%
Avg Cost/BTC
$15.5k
Drawdown Tiers — 1.5×–5× multiplier on dips
Invested
$74.7k
BTC Held
5.5519 ₿
Value Today
$469.1k
Total Return
+528.0%
Avg Cost/BTC
$13.5k
Extra BTC Accumulated
+2.7767 ₿
from tier multipliers
More capital deployed during drawdowns means more BTC at lower prices
Cost Basis Delta
$2.1k lower
tiered vs flat, per BTC
Tiers bought more BTC at lower prices, compressing average entry
Return Delta
+83.9%
tiered minus flat
Drawdown multipliers outperformed flat DCA this period
Drawdown Tier Reference
1× — Base DCA
Any drawdown · Always active
1.5× — Tier 1
10%+ drawdown · Mild pullback
2× — Tier 2
25%+ drawdown · Meaningful dip
3× — Tier 3
50%+ drawdown · Bear territory
5× — Tier 4
75%+ drawdown · Max drawdown
Portfolio value at each period's actual BTC spot price
Both strategies experience the same market. The difference is how much capital was deployed — and when. Tiered DCA buys more during fear and less near peaks, which changes the shape of the recovery.
Tiered DCA (1.5×–5× on dips)
Flat DCA (same amount every week)
Amount invested
Want to run this on your actual portfolio?
The Drawdown Lab tracker gives you live tier signals, cost basis tracking,
and allocation cap alerts — with your numbers, not a model.
and allocation cap alerts — with your numbers, not a model.
Monthly close prices used as weekly proxy · Rolling 18-month high as cycle ATH proxy · All values at spot price for each period · For illustrative purposes only · Not financial advice